Showing posts with label #ECONOMY. Show all posts
Showing posts with label #ECONOMY. Show all posts

Sunday, 22 May 2016

The South West leadership of the National Association of Nigerian Students (NANS) has thrown its weight behind the reforms in the downstream sector of the Nigeria oil and gas sub sector of the nation’s economy, which led to the official pump price of petrol at N145 per litre.
At a press conference in Abeokuta, the Ogun State capital, members of the association said that the removal of the over N1.4 trillion, which represents about %18 of the 2016 budget being paid as fuel subsidy would go a long way in reducing corruption and impunity in the system
The association was however quick to ask the Federal Government to put adequate palliatives in place to cushion the effect of the removal by investing in critical sectors of the economy such as education, agriculture among others.

Saturday, 14 May 2016

Freeze weighs in on the increased fuel price

Freeze weighs in on the increased fuel price


Freeze took to his IG page to weigh in on the increased petrol price by the Federal Government. Read what he wrote below: 
A TORTOISE WITH RIGOR MORTIS ! ! !
 
The pain of the poor Nigerian at such a time as this is beyond unbearable. I have always supported this government so I took the slow 'tortoise' pace of its ruling strategy though unnerving, with optimism, believing that the future is going to be propitious if we can eventually get out of this 'alley'..... However, with the latest hike in petrol prices, the slow paced tortoise has developed rigor mortis, which by definition is 'the stiffness of death'. This fuel increase, will only serve to highlight our harrowing plight, in a country where life prior to this act, was already intolerable.
 
It's like serving a quit notice to a man whose car was stolen the previous day, after he lost his kids in a fire earlier that week. He had also lost his job a month back, due to depression caused by the discovery that his wife was HIV positive during her autopsy.
 
There is nothing wrong with removing a subsidy that has been the foundation of the most elaborate corruption scheme in the history of this country. However, is this the best time to do it?
 
I'm of the humble opinion that when the economic rigor mortis resulting from this fuel hike sets in, and many are faced with the dilemma of choosing between corruption and suffering, a vast majority won't be choosing suffering.

A word like they say, is enough for the wise.

Friday, 13 May 2016

South Africa's Economy Falls To Third Behind Nigeria, Egypt

South Africa's Economy Falls To Third Behind Nigeria, Egypt

Once the largest economy on the continent, South Africa’s domestic and political issues have seen it fall to third place behind Nigeria and Egypt, KPMG has warned, using data from the International Monetary Fund (IMF ).

Even though South Africa remains the “continent’s most developed economy, and has a more diversified economic base than the Egyptian economy… its fall from first and now second place amongst the continent’s giants is of great concern,” KPMG Financial Risk Manager Christie Viljoen said, adding “especially as this development is largely attributed to weakness in the rand that, in turn, has largely been as a result of domestic issues”.

“South Africa has been known as the continent’s second-largest economy since Nigeria rebased its gross domestic product (GDP) data in early 2014. However, the IMF World Economic Outlook (WEO) released in mid-April provided more sobering GDP statistics for South Africa. Not only did the multilateral organisation suggest that the South African economy would grow by a mere 0.6% this year, but also that the country is now only the third-largest economy on the continent behind Nigeria and new silver medalist Egypt,” Viljoen said.

“Nigeria’s rebasing exercise some two years ago revealed that the oil-dependent economy was almost twice as big as previously thought. The country’s National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) ensured greater measurement of the informal sector, the inclusion of 46 industries from a previous 33, as well as methodological changes to measuring service sector activity with the rebasing.”

“Backward adjustments to GDP indicated that Nigerian GDP in US dollar terms surpassed its South African equivalent in 2011. By the end of 2015, Nigeria’s GDP was measured at $490 billion compared to South Africa’s estimate of $313 billion,” Viljoen added.

In February is was announced that South Africa attracted the largest amount of start-up funding ($54.5-million) and was the most favoured destination (36%), according to the African Tech Startups Funding Report 2015. This placed it ahead of Nigeria, the continent’s populace country with 170-million people, with $49.4-million, or 24% in investments, and Kenya with $47.3-million (14.4%).

South Africa breathed a sigh of relief on Monday when credit ratings agency Moody's MCO -0.17% left the country’s rating unchanged at Baa2 – but with a negative outlook – after months of fears it would be downgraded to junk status.

This followed the unexpected firing of finance minister Nhlanhla Nene on 9 December 2015, which saw more than $6,6 billion (R100 billion) wiped off government pensions. This was revealed this week by Daniel Matjila, the CEO of state’s pension investment arm, the Public Investment Corporation (PIC), in response to questions in Parliament.

http://www.forbes.com
Fuel subsidy removal: a good decision taken too late

Fuel subsidy removal: a good decision taken too late




I really don't know how I should greet my readers and in what languages I should greet them. I'm a Nigerian not vast at speaking any local language fluently,but will try and greet in English language and the little yoruba language I know.

Congrats on the subsidy removal/happy subsidy removal!(English)

Eku subsidy o!!!(Yoruba) 

Now that we're done with the greetings,let's get down to business. Pls,permit me to be as vocal and rude as I want to be. It won't be forever;it will be just this once and the reason I'd like to go that way,is cos I think it's payback time and like you and I know,payback is always a Dam!

I'd love for us,to cast our minds back to january 2012 under the regime of ex-president Goodluck Ebele Jonathan popularly known as GEJ. The PDP government at the time,had concluded that paying subsidy on petroleum products,was a collosal waste of scarce national resources,as the exercise was riddled with monumental fraud,the subsidy itself wasn't getting to the ordinary Nigerians,and that the act of subsidy payment wasn't economically sustainable due to the fact that it only created wealth for a few Nigerians. Government at that time,had decided to take the bull by the horn and do what was right. However,the opposition party at the time,the labour unions,and the oil cartel enjoying the subsidy payments,decided to twist the arms of govt behind,by sponsoring protests to kick against the policy. This protest gave birth to the popular occupy Nigeria protest. Economic activities were shut down for over a month,people couldn't even access cash via ATMs,riots and protests took place at various locations,a lot was said in the media and the whole thing was blown out of proportion. Some irate youths who took to the streets to protest and riot,never made it back home;they were gunned down by trigger happy security agents. The opposition,were very much ready to make the country boil. Government tried in futility to sell this idea to the country,as the very best decision. Some of us who knew this was the right thing to do,tried in our own little ways to educate those around us both one-on-one,and on social media. But our efforts were in futility. We were called all manner of names,maligned so badly,accused of being beneficiaries of the fraud,etc. I took a barage of insults from lots of ignorant folks,arguements became heated and I ended up deleting some friends from way-back,on my facebook. Even my ex-fiancee took part in throwing shades at me and considering we had just broken up,what a perfect opportunity it was for her.
Well,since Nigeria is a land made up of mostly illiterate and ignorant folks,their voices were louder. Negotiations went back and forth and govt jettisioned the idea of a full subsidy removal. Those in power today,were the ones who vehemently opposed the removal of subsidy then. The new government has given us divergent opinions over this subsidy issue. When they were not yet in power,they said there was nothing like subsidy and it was all fraud. They got into power,said there was nothing like subsidy,agreed there was subsidy,back tracked on it,and finally agreed that there was a lot of corruption entangled in the subsidy scheme(the same thing the previous govt said in 2012),and have finally decided to stop paying subsidy. The saying that spectators are always the best players,aptly describes this present govt. Prior to the elections,they had dazzled and bamboozled their teeming supporters with the notion that they had full grasps of how the ideal Nigerian environment should function and work. One of them,a certain Professor David Tam West,had gone on air to do a ludicrous arithmetic of how petrol should be sold for not more than #40 naira per litre. Fans of the new govt had eulogized him and even tipped him to be the incoming petroleum minister. It's amusing that this same "erudite scholar" who had told Nigerians that they could buy PMS for #40 naira,can't help the present govt make that possible. According to unconfirmed statistics,Nigeria spends between $7-8 billion dollars a year on subsidy. If we take the mean of this figure for the last 4 years when subsidy should have been removed,it would give us $7.5 billion dollars a year and when you multiply that by 4,it gives you $30billion dollars in 4 years which amounts to roughly about 5trillion naira in 4 years. This figure sounds too huge to be true and in a bid to give our arguement some kind of credibility,I'd love for us to halve this figure into 2. This would leave us with a conservative figure of about 2.5 trillion naira spent on subsidy in the last 4 years. That's more than half of our previous yearly budgets. In a nutshell,about 2.5 trillion naira has gone into private pockets in the last 4 years. I read a report that stated that Nigeria had spent over 4.5 trillion naira on petrol subsidy in the last 7 years. This was an article published in 2015. It is obvious to every sane person that subsidy should have been removed a long time ago. But the insincerity on the part of politicians in power today,the gullibility of a larger percentage of the populace,and the wickedness and greed that generally permeates the Nigerian society,made this impossible. 

In 2012 when subsidy should have been removed,I watched different celebrities(actors and musicians),media practitioners,politicians et al,converge at the popular Ojota garage for days,protesting this noble action. Where are the likes of Seun Kuti,Femi Kuti, KWAM 1, Ras Kimono, Pasuma Wonder, Salawa Abeni, Dede Mabiaku, Eldee, 9ice, Olamide, Ruggedman, Eedris Abdulkareem, Banky W,Ade Bantu,Desmond Elliot, Kunle Afolayan,Bimbo Akintola,Pst Tunde Bakare and others who gathered to dance at Ojoto like witches and wizards in their covens practising witchcraft in excitement? What do they have to say? Do they still want to continue the witchcraft dance at Ojota? Or will they humble themselves to admit they erred in opposing the right decision? These set of people led gullible youths to reject a sound policy,and to encourage profilgacy in the name of subsidy payments. Yes,most of these people are people I personally like in the industry,and some of them are people I have huge admiration and respect for their works. But the truth must be said;they have to tender unreserved apologies to Nigerians,most especially the ignorant youths they misled(those who joined the protest cos they looked up to them as role models).

I am not a fan of Buhari and I have never hidden that fact. Forget about all these integrity gibberish being fed us about him;there are men and women of honor with integrity other than Buhari. Nations all around the world,are looking at electing leaders with charisma and bright ideas and innovations to move their country forward,not old men who should be enjoying their retirement in peace,and acting as elder statesmen. In almost a year of Buhari being in power,we have seen how he has dragged us all back to 1983. Even kids being born today,are being forced to experience the wonders of 1983. It's a shame that in 2015,a country of a 170million Nigerians,couldn't present a better candidate other than a 73 years old leader who had ruled the nation before,to challenge the former president. Everytime I think about it,I almost weep for the youths of my generation. 
That being said,I won't act like a hypocrite and join in condemning the subsidy removal;I'm not that silly. If I supported the policy under Jonathan,why shouldn't I support it under Buhari? The only painful thing is that,we're taking a decision that should have been taken when we still had life in 2012,now that we're almost dead in 2016;I hope and pray we survive it. The naira is almost useless and worthless as at today. Prices of goods and services are already too high and by the time we factor in the subsidy removal,it will further push the cost of goods and services high;how do we navigate this? As painful as it is,as daunting a task as it is,we just have to face it head long. But all in all,this is the only sensible thing I have seen this government do. It's just that it is coming at a bad time.

I read on a few social networks how people are already preparing to do an occupy Nigeria season 2. I hear labour unions are already pushing for a showdown. I'd love to appeal to all those who have this protest and economic shutdown in mind,to please desist from it. They'd only succeed in causing more hardship cos the current Nigerian president is a man that has ears but doesn't listen. If the security agencies kill 1,000 people as a result of this,it won't move him. Infact,as the security agents starts killing you guys,he'd be on the way to the airport to board the Nigerian "Airforce 1" to UK,and from there announce to the world that the Nigerians being killed,are the ones supporting corruption. You and I know that the only thing Buhari knows,is corruption. You can't ask him any question without him adding corruption to the answer. Please,do not disrupt the plans of other people. I have mouths to feed,I have debtors to settle,I have projects to execute and the economy isn't helping right now. The last thing we want is to lose everything we've worked for and invested in. This is the change you were promised;take up your cross and walk. Let's hope that the removal of subsidy would go a long way in sanitizing the oil sector,and that the subsidy funds would be channeled into more profitable ventures.

Once again,"eku subsidy"(happy subsidy).

SOURCE:Nairaland.com
Subsidy Removal: PPPRA Pegs Naira At N298/$ For Fuel Imports

Subsidy Removal: PPPRA Pegs Naira At N298/$ For Fuel Imports

Goddy Egene, Obinna Chima, Ejiofor Alike in Lagos, Paul Obi and Chineme Okafor in Abuja

Oil marketers have been given the go-ahead to source foreign exchange (forex) to import petrol into the country at an autonomous exchange rate of N298 to the dollar.

According to reliable sources in the Petroleum Products Pricing Regulatory Agency (PPPRA), which released a revised pricing template for petrol on Wednesday night, the forex rate was pegged at N298 to the dollar to limit the challenges associated with sourcing and accessing forex for the importation of petrol by oil marketers.

However, news on the removal of subsidy on petrol exerted downward pressure on the naira on the parallel market yesterday, where it fell sharply in a single day by N18 to close at N341 to the dollar, relative to the N323 at which it sold on Wednesday.

Sources in PPPRA explained to THISDAY yesterday that while the government’s official naira/dollar exchange rate through the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) window remains at N199 to the dollar, the decision to adopt a parallel market rate for petrol importation was agreed by all stakeholders in the downstream oil sector during the consultations.
They explained that before arriving at the new pricing template, a comprehensive study of the cost of importation was undertaken and all stakeholders, including oil marketers and independent experts, were consulted to arrive at an appropriate cost reflective regime.

The template, which put the landing cost of petrol at N119.74 per litre and distribution margins as N18.37, meant that the total cost-to-pump price for a litre of petrol rose to N138.11.
The template, however, indicated that marketers could sell petrol within a retail price band of N135 to N145 per litre.

Naira Heads South

However, it was uncertain if the PPPRA template, which pegged the forex rate at N298 to the dollar, was expected to make much of a difference, as the naira plummeted significantly to N341 yesterday, from N323 to the dollar the day before.
‪The sharp decline was blamed on the government’s announcement of the removal of fuel subsidies and the green light given to oil marketers to source their forex requirements from parallel or autonomous market sources.

‪This, according to a source, led to an upsurge in forex demand on the parallel market.
‪Speaking on the development, the CEO, Financial Derivatives Company Limited, Mr. Bismark Rewane, said the parallel market does not have the depth to fund the importation of petroleum products, arguing that the central bank needs to find a way to continue to fund petrol importation.

“If they say they can’t fund the importation of petrol from the official market, then why do we have that market?” Rewane queried.
‪He added: “What they have done was to effectively devalue naira for petrol imports, if you say the CBN cannot supply to that sector.

“But the government cannot push the funding of petrol to the parallel market because the market does not have the depth to fund the importation of petrol.
“What we will see is a situation where the NNPC will be selling petrol at a different price while other marketers would be selling at a different rate, thereby creating a dual exchange rate regime.”

Oil Stocks Gain on Fuel Price Hike

Despite the dichotomy created in the forex market, share prices of oil marketing firms rose on the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE) yesterday, as investors reacted positively to the increase in the pump price of petroleum to N145 per litre.
Other than the shares of MRS Oil Nigeria Plc, which remained flat, the shares of other major marketers recorded gains.
Forte Oil Plc appreciated by N10.50 to close at N220.50, followed by Total Nigeria Plc with a gain of N9.19 to close at N159.60.

Mobil Oil Nigeria Plc also chalked up N5.57 to rise to N155.96 per share, while Oando Plc and Conoil Plc advanced by N0.23 and N0.06 to end the day’s trading at N4.80 and N18.16 per share, respectively.
The gains lifted the NSE Oil & Gas Index by 3.78 per cent.
In their reaction, analysts at FBN Capital, an investment firm in Lagos, said: “We believe the likely implications are, firstly, quarterly import allocations by the PPPRA may cease to exist and marketers would be allowed to import products as each firm determines.

“Secondly, the PPPRA’s product pricing template’s forex assumption would now reflect the forex rate at the parallel market. The second point is the real game changer and should see the re-entrance of many industry participants, mainly the independent marketers.

“The policy change also suggests that the PPPRA would have to monitor two variables going forward, crude oil prices and forex rates at the parallel market, as opposed to only oil prices previously.
“We expect increased pressure on parallel market rates to be a major fallout of this decision.”
“Also, we are yet to determine if the forex rate assumption for NNPC imports would also now be at parallel market rates. We do not expect a strong push back from organised labour given that it was carried along and should understand the circumstances that led to this decision,” the investment firm said.

It explained that major marketers posted stellar profits before tax growth in the first quarter of 2016 due to their ability to source forex required for product importation, mostly from international oil companies (IOCs).
“However, we expect more competition in the second half of 2016, given that independent marketers are likely to re-enter the market now that importation is economically viable.

“Nonetheless, if forex supply agreements with the IOCs remain at the official rate, major marketers could have a pricing advantage. Given the supply gap, we still expect pump sale prices within the PPPRA price band on average.
“This could lead to gross margins expanding nicely, especially for the marketers under our coverage, Total and Mobil,” FBN Capital said.

NNPC Depots Suspend Loading

Meanwhile, the Pipelines and Products Marketing Company (PPMC), a subsidiary of the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation (NNPC), has suspended the sale of petrol at its depots, as well as the private depots that have throughput arrangement with the company.
It has also advised oil marketers that paid the old ex-depot price to pay the difference arising from the hike in the price of petrol.

PPMC also in an internal memorandum issued yesterday to all its depot managers and coordinators at the private depots, directed them to sell at the new ex-depot price of N126.64 per litre, up from N76, the price at which the product was sold at the depots before the removal of subsidy.
The memo signed by A.T. Gwarzo on behalf of PPMC’s executive director in charge of supply and distribution, also reminded the managers that the federal government had increased the ex-depot price and pump price of petrol.
Also in a circular issued to the marketers yesterday, the PPPRA directed depot operators to sell at new ex-depot price of N123.8-N133.28 per litre.

The acting Executive Secretary of PPPRA, Mrs. Sotonye Iyoyo, who signed the letter, informed them that the agency would “continue to monitor market fundamentals in line with the policy of appropriate pricing, with a view to advising marketers on the subsequent guiding price band for petroleum products at the beginning of every month”.
She advised marketers to operate within the indicative price band as issued by the agency to avoid sanctions.

Iyoyo also informed the marketers that the implementation of “this new price mechanism is in line with the PPPRA’s mandate of determining pricing policy and setting benchmark prices of petroleum products in the country”.
However, all PPMC depots and private depots with PPMC products refused to load petrol since the new price regime took effect on Wednesday.

THISDAY gathered that NNPC’s depots at Mosimi in Ogun State, Ejigbo in Lagos, Ibadan, as well as some private depots engaged in a throughput arrangement with the corporation, refused to sell petrol until the marketers who paid the old price paid the difference arising from the current increase.
The development led to long queues of tankers waiting to lift NNPC product at Folawaiyo, Aiteo, AA Rano and Capital Oil and Gas depots in Lagos.

Nonetheless, many other depot owners that imported product sold yesterday at different ex-depot prices.
For instance, NIPCO Plc sold at ex-depot price of N130 per litre; Stallione at N136 per litre; Rahamaniyya Oil and Gas Limited at N130 and Gulf Treasure at N135 per litre.
Some of the marketers, who spoke to THISDAY, said the new pump price was high because the federal government used an exchange rate of N300 to arrive at the figures.
Many filling stations in Lagos and Abuja yesterday adjusted their fuel dispensing machines to reflect the new price approved by PPPRA.

NLC to Hold Emergency Meeting

But as the oil industry operators adjusted to the new price regime, the Nigeria Labour Congress (NLC), which has already expressed its opposition to the subsidy removal, said yesterday that it would hold an emergency National Executive Council (NEC) meeting today to strategise on ways to confront the federal government over the petrol pump price increase.
NLC Secretary General, Dr. Peter Ozo-Eson, told THISDAY that after the NEC meeting scheduled for 2pm today, the resolutions therefrom would be tabled before the National Action Committee (NAC) of the union to decide on the way forward.

Ozo-Eson recalled that “even in 2012 when former President Goodluck Jonathan increased the pump price of petrol, it took time before NEC declared action, so we will still follow that process”.
The National Association of Nigerian Students (NANS), on the other hand, had no bureaucratic bottlenecks to contend with, when it declared that it would mobilise its members across the country to protest against the increment until government reverses the price of petrol.

Speaking with THISDAY, NANS President, Mr. Tijani Usman Shehu, said yesterday: “We condemn it in totality and the leadership of NANS will do everything within its power to ensure that this pump price is reversed to N87.
“When President Muhammadu Buhari came into office, he assured Nigerians that he was going to reduce fuel pump price to N50. So we want to believe that he is a man of integrity and a man of honour.

“Nigerians believed him and it is in view of this that when we got the sudden news yesterday (Wednesday) in the morning that subsidy had been removed, we sat down and had an emergency meeting yesterday (Wednesday) at 12 pm to 2 pm with the executive leadership of NANS and came up with a position that Nigerian students will condemn the price hike in its totality.”
Shehu revealed that by next Tuesday, all zonal structures will embark on a nationwide protest, adding that between Wednesday and Thursday, NANS members would converge in Abuja in continuation of their protest.

“We want to believe on or before Thursday, the pump price of petrol would have been reversed. If it is not done, we shall demand that Mr. President redresses the matter,” the NANS president said.
Also, the President of the Catholic Bishops Conference of Nigeria (CBCN) and Archbishop of Jos, Ignatius Kaigama, in an interview with THISDAY, said: “Nobody is happy with the increase. It means more suffering, so more pain has been added to the already existing pain of Nigerians.”

Security Beefed up in Abuja

However, in anticipation of the protests, the Nigeria Police Force yesterday beefed up security across the Federal Capital Territory (FCT).
THISDAY learnt that armed policemen drawn from the various units of the FCT Command were deployed to strategic government institutions and locations in a bid to pre-empt the breakdown of law and order over the fuel price hike.

Battle-ready police officers and men drawn from the regular, combatant and counter-terrorism units were seen in the Abuja metropolis and it suburbs.
Also, armoured tanks fitted with modern communications gadgets, were rolled out in different parts of the city.
A source in the FCT Command explained that deployment of policemen was done to forestall violent fuel hike protests in and around Abuja.
1 Share